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（1）油价上涨对化工的整体影响：意外因素致油价短期大涨大跌，下游接受需过程。当前全球化工产业链库存处于底部，油价大涨下游被迫接受原材料涨价带来的产品涨价。若油价大涨后维持高位，下游适应后对化工行业的影响偏中性；若油价温和上涨或波动，对化工品盈利影响不明显，行业景气最终取决于供需关系。